Predicting the Future from the Past

OK, so there is no real science to this, or there is, depending how you look at it.  Basically, here's what I've done:  Using my calculations, etc. from my fancy college football numbers algorithms (should I have been a baseball fan if I am interested this much in the stats? I guess if baseball wasn't so boring), I ran through the week 1 schedule of the 2012 football season and predicted the outcomes of the games using the 2011 season as seed data (this makes this completely unreliable, FYI, but this is provided for entertainment purposes only).

So, here's how you read this lovely chart below.  First I have them ranked by my "confidence factor" and I have the Away team and score versus the Home team and score.  In some of these games, it's a neutral site game and I just used whichever one was listed last in my input schedule file as the home team.  Then I've given a "confidence" on how much the model thinks you should trust the result (win/loss) - for my internal notes, that means Extremely High - factor of 2+, High - factor of 1-2, Good - factor of 0.75-1, Medium - factor of 0.6-0.75, and Low (coin flip) 0.5-0.6.  I've also formatted so that the winner is bold, to make it easier to read.

The scores really should just show spread capabilities and are not meant to represent ACTUAL predictions of scores.  Though it would be interesting to see how that plays out (I've run against some actuals from 2011 and it was OK in some instances, not in others.  Will be interesting to see how confidence metric versus score actuals plays out.  Perhaps after Week 1, I'll revisit these predictions to see if it is anywhere close.
edit: Realized this was backwards with Home & Away - and then couldn't really swap the columns, so for now you get it backwards (but now labelled correctly). Will work to fix in future predictions.

Prediction Rank	Home Team	Home Score	Away Team	Away Score	Confidence
1	Utah	30	Northern Colo.	21	Extremely High
2	Oklahoma St.	39	Savannah St.	17	Extremely High
3	Indiana	23	Indiana St.	36	Extremely High
4	Akron	10	UCF	37	Extremely High
5	Tulane	20	Rutgers	31	Extremely High
6	New Mexico	15	Southern U.	34	Extremely High
7	Fla. Atlantic	18	Wagner	31	Extremely High
8	Kansas St.	38	Missouri St.	24	Extremely High
9	Mississippi	21	Central Ark.	33	Extremely High
10	Temple	30	Villanova	15	High
11	Middle Tenn.	22	McNeese St.	30	High
12	Idaho	24	Eastern Wash.	33	High
13	Air Force	36	Idaho St.	27	High
14	Oregon St.	28	Nicholls St.	26	High
15	Kansas	24	South Dakota St.	38	High
16	Maryland	23	William & Mary	31	High
17	Memphis	22	Tenn.-Martin	37	High
18	Duke	21	FIU	31	High
19	BYU	28	Washington St.	27	High
20	LSU	29	North Texas	21	High
21	Arizona	35	Toledo	45	High
22	Stanford	34	San Jose St.	23	High
23	La.-Lafayette	39	Lamar	26	Good
24	Houston	38	Texas St.	26	Good
25	UTEP	23	Oklahoma	35	Good
26	Vanderbilt	15	South Carolina	26	Good
27	Southern California	30	Hawaii	29	Good
28	Kent St.	19	Towson	34	Good
29	Mississippi St.	22	Jackson St.	33	Good
30	UNLV	19	Minnesota	33	Good
31	Boston College	17	Miami (FL)	25	Good
32	Fresno St.	33	Weber St.	34	Medium
33	Navy	23	Notre Dame	30	Medium
34	Wake Forest	24	Liberty	35	Medium
35	Iowa St.	26	Tulsa	34	Medium
36	Florida	23	Bowling Green	23	Medium
37	Louisville	24	Kentucky	21	Medium
38	Rice	22	UCLA	36	Medium
39	Virginia Tech	26	Georgia Tech	25	Medium
40	Nebraska	21	Southern Miss.	31	Medium
41	North Carolina	29	Elon	23	Low (Coin Flip)
42	Pittsburgh	22	Youngstown St.	36	Low (Coin Flip)
43	Michigan St.	20	Boise St.	30	Low (Coin Flip)
44	Auburn	20	Clemson	38	Low (Coin Flip)
45	Washington	27	San Diego St.	36	Low (Coin Flip)
46	Oregon	31	Arkansas St.	30	Low (Coin Flip)
47	Syracuse	23	Northwestern	29	Low (Coin Flip)
48	Alabama	26	Michigan	24	Low (Coin Flip)
49	Connecticut	25	Massachusetts	28	Low (Coin Flip)
50	Central Mich.	25	Southeast Mo. St.	29	Low (Coin Flip)
51	South Fla.	20	Chattanooga	27	Low (Coin Flip)
52	Florida St.	32	Murray St.	30	Low (Coin Flip)
53	Purdue	21	Eastern Ky.	30	Low (Coin Flip)
54	Colorado	25	Colorado St.	30	Low (Coin Flip)
55	Penn St.	17	Ohio	24	Low (Coin Flip)
56	Utah St.	24	Southern Utah	33	Low (Coin Flip)
57	UAB	25	Troy	32	Low (Coin Flip)
58	California	22	Nevada	38	Low (Coin Flip)
59	Texas	26	Wyoming	27	Low (Coin Flip)
60	Ball St.	22	Eastern Mich.	34	Low (Coin Flip)
61	Illinois	19	Western Mich.	34	Low (Coin Flip)